Archive for August, 2007

Corporate leverage puzzle

August 28, 2007

I hope I’m giving enough disclaimers so that no one can possibly be fooled into thinking I actually know what I’m talking about, but I continue trying to absorb as much as I can as events unfold.
I know very little about financial statements and most of my comments on the subject of corporate leverage have [...]

Hooray for economic Darwinism!

August 28, 2007

Back in the dark ages when I was a physics major, I was probably even more stubborn than I am today. I would routinely reject theories that were taught to me and try to think about how things really should be. I would occasionally come up with whacky ideas only to later discover that other [...]

Petrodollars and the reversal of the savings glut

August 25, 2007

An interesting article from the WSJ:
How a Gulf Petro-State Invests Its Oil Riches
Now, I am an admitted amateur when it comes to macroeconomics and asset management. I did have a pretty fantastic immersion in the subjects for two years, but realistically, what can you learn in two years when you are starting from basically zero? [...]

Even more on credit from NP

August 21, 2007

Another 16 hour day! Phew! Kick @$$!!
Anyway, although I should be sleeping, I decided to compose another stream of consciousness over at NP.

“In my opinion, the CDO market is history.”
[From RRP:]Eric, this is the kind of stuff that you say that drives me nuts.
Come on. Admit it. This is exactly the worry that has driven [...]

More on credit from NP

August 19, 2007

My invitation to move some of the discussion here to avoid flooding the thread “Discount Rate” on NP so far has not been taken advantage of so I just left the following comment:
[From RRP:]First of all, best wishes to your daughter on her birthday. One of the benefits of living in Southern California is close [...]

Merrill Lynch: The Credit Monitor

August 18, 2007

Got this via the good guys over at Econocator:
Merrill Lynch - The Credit Monitor
“Easy money” is the root cause of current credit volatility. While mortgage finance, Hedge Funds, LBO’s, Yen-based financing, SIVs/Conduits and CDOs have all been cited as sources of structural leverage they are derivative of the 1% funds rate policy from the early [...]

Party like it’s 1998… or 2001… or 1987… or 1929… or 1907

August 18, 2007

What a week!! I certainly picked a good time to start a new job in structured finance. It’s only my first week and I’ve already had two 16 hour days where I was in the office until after midnight
Actually, I love it! I love the intensity and love pushing myself. Reminds me of [...]

More questions on “safe haven” status of USD

August 14, 2007

[Note: Here I am joining the flocks of bloggers pointing to their prior words of wisdom. My apologies!]
On Saturday, I wrote
Flight to non-USD quality
Over the last few weeks, being on “garden leave” has given me a great opportunity to watch recent events unfolding from the sidelines. In that time, I’ve made a lot of comments. [...]

Back to the grind

August 13, 2007

Well, the days of sitting around reading financial blogs in my boxers has finally come to an end [Too much information?]
I started my new job today. I’ve got mixed emotions about it so far. There are certainly aspects of my old job I’m going to miss. It was a lot more plush, e.g. I [...]

Bloomberg: The Poison in Your Pension

August 12, 2007

It may sound a bit strange, but I was maintaining a blog on my prior employer’s intranet. If you knew the place, you might agree it actually makes sense. A massive asset management firm struggling to maintain effective communication between analysts and portfolio managers. Email and hard copies of research were becoming ineffective (in my [...]